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Betting on MLB Run Totals

One of the often-overlooked bets that you make on any MLB game is the run total. There are a few different ways that you can bet on run total in a baseball game. The most common way to bet the run total is by choosing whether both teams will go over a pre-set run total throughout the entire game. You can also bet the over/under on the first five innings in a baseball game and some cappers prefer this way because they don’t need to rely on the bullpens this way.

The two other ways that you can bet on run totals when you visit FullTiltPoker.fr in MLB is by betting on just one of the teams run total rather then both of the teams combined. Each team will have their own run total and you’ll be able to decide whether or not the team will go over or under that total. Sometimes choosing this bet makes more sense because you may follow certain teams only or because you can only trust one of the starting pitchers.

Not that many people talk about betting on run totals in baseball as most of the media outlets spend time talking about wins and losses rather then if they’re going over/under the posted run totals. You can easily find this information online though, and use it to find out what teams are over teams and what teams are under teams. You’ll often notice baseball teams throughout the season go on over/under streaks of 5-10+ games.

One of the reasons why a lot of smart poker online handicappers bet on run totals is because the odds are always roughly the same. Basically you’ll never need to pay more then –120 juice on betting an over/under. Most over/under bets for a full game will fall within the 7-10 range although when certain teams play then total can reach 12+ runs. The weather will also play a small role in the posted run total for a game. If you watch a lot of baseball you might remember recently in 2010 the Cubs were playing Arizona and the posted total for the game was 14-14.5 depending on what book you looked at. This game went over the total and a lot of people lost a lot of money on this game because it was nearly impossible not to pull the trigger on the under. When there are outrageous run totals in baseball they often go over the total, so keep this in mind throughout the season.

Pitching will also play a role in the run total and in some people’s opinion is the most important thing to look at. I try to avoid games with two aces on the mound because the run total is often really low and if one of the pitchers has even one bad inning it could send the game flying over the total. I like to find poker stars games with two solid pitchers in the middle of the rotation that have been running hot as of late. The sportsbook won’t make the total that small because they’d get to much action on the over, so you often find some value in betting the under in this type of situation.